“重庆可以成为‘一带一路’领头羊” 美好前景值得期待“供给侧结构性改革与‘一带一路’建设：重庆视角”研讨会在渝召开

□ 文、图/本刊记者 曾睿

“重庆可以成为‘一带一路’领头羊” 美好前景值得期待“供给侧结构性改革与‘一带一路’建设：重庆视角”研讨会在渝召开

□ 文、图/本刊记者 曾睿

四川外国语大学校长李克勇致辞。

2016年11月19日，由四川外国语大学、中国人民大学重阳金融研究院主办，重庆国际战略研究院承办的“供给侧结构性改革与‘一带一路’建设：重庆视角”研讨会在四川外国语大学举行。四川外国语大学校长李克勇，中国人民大学重阳金融研究院执行院长王文，重庆市教育工委书记、市教委副主任赵为粮，重庆市沙坪坝区区委常委、副区长何庆先后在开幕式上致辞。

在开幕致辞中，中国人民大学重阳金融研究院执行院长王文表示，此次“供给侧结构性改革与‘一带一路’建设：重庆视角”研讨会的举行，是重阳金融研究院与重庆国际战略研究院这样的区域性智库开展深入合作的一次有益尝试。四川外国语大学校长李克勇在致辞中表示，非常希望能进一步增进与中国人民大学重阳金融研究院的合作，让四川外国语大学能够更好地为重庆内陆开放高地建设作出贡献。

在开幕式后的公开演讲环节，外交部前副部长何亚非，国家外汇管理局原副局长魏本华，国际商会执行董事、中国银行原副行长张燕玲，恒丰银行研究院执行院长董希淼，中国民生银行研究院院长黄剑辉，恒丰银行研究院执行院长董希淼、中国人民大学重阳金融研究院学术合作部副主任崔悦等演讲嘉宾分别就“‘一带一路’倡议与重庆未来”和“供给侧结构性改革与重庆发展”进行了精彩演讲。当天下午，专家们还与重庆的专家学者及相关部门、机构负责人一道就“重庆自贸区与内陆开放高地建设”进行了深入研讨。

据了解，中国人民大学重阳金融研究院（人大重阳）作为中国特色新型智库，旨在把脉金融，钻研学术，关注现实，建言国家，服务大众。人大重阳聘请了来自10多个国家的96名前政要、银行家、知名学者为高级研究员，与30多个国家的智库开展实质合作。目前，人大重阳被中国官方认定为G20智库峰会（T20）共同牵头智库、中国金融学会绿色金融专业委员会秘书处、“一带一路”中国智库合作联盟常务理事、中国-伊朗官学共建“一带一路”中方牵头智库。2014年来，人大重阳连续两年被选入由美国宾州大学推出的、国际公认度最高的《全球智库报告》的“全球顶级智库150强”（仅7家中国智库连续入围）。而重庆国际战略研究院则是经重庆市人民政府批准，由原重庆市对外贸易经济委员会和四川外国语大学共同成立的独立研究咨询机构，成立于2014年12月18日。研究院的主旨是在国家“一带一路”战略背景下研究重庆市产业布局、区域及国际经济合作等领域的重大问题和政策，理念是“国际视野、服务决策”，方针是“政府主导、学校主体、资源整合、平台搭建”。

研讨会现场座无虚席。

专家观点

外交部原副部长何亚非：

重庆在“一带一路”建设方面可成为“领头羊”

我觉得重庆有三个方面可以重点推进，一个是基础设施的互联互通，把重庆定位在“一带一路”沿线国家扩大贸易扩大投资加快物流的一个缩影。第二个，是在制造业、服务业、工程总承包EPC等方面。第三，重庆要考虑到海外华侨华人的优势，我们现在讲培养人才，培养的什么人才呢？实际上是跨文化多语种的人才，能讲各种语言，精通国际规则，兼顾各种文化，华人华侨中，尤其是其中的年轻一代，无疑是具有这方面的优势的。重庆在“一带一路”建设方面，可以起到领头羊的作用。

国际商会执行董事、中国银行原副行长张燕玲：

重庆可以成为“一带一路”中的数据信息中心

重庆可以在“一带一路”大数据分析方面发挥特殊作用，促进“一带一路”战略更加良性地发展。一方面，根据对重庆这个物流枢纽的信息统计分析，运用物流大数据提出宏观指导意见。另一方面，还可以对这几年重庆发展得特别快的跨境物流和转口贸易的物流数据进行专项分析。成为“一带一路”中的数据信息中心，为“一带一路”的发展，为国家的发展献言献策。

恒丰银行研究院执行院长董希淼：关于重庆金融改革的三点建议

第一，为构建多层次资本市场构建健康生长的土壤。第二点，要打造具有领先金融特色的地方经济。重庆的消费金融现在已经有很好的基础，还可以有进一步的发展，能够为我们的中小企业和消费者提供更多的帮助。第三，要积极发挥地方金融监管的优势。在这一块，重庆可以做很多工作，重庆的很多经验也可以为全国提供很好的借鉴。

国家外汇管理局原副局长魏本华：

考虑供给侧改革问题要兼顾短期和中长期

我们考虑供给侧改革问题的时候不要只考虑短期的问题，还是要考虑到中长期的问题。我们要让市场在资源配置中发挥决定性作用，但是政府也要发挥作用，所以要掌握好政策的均衡，在适度扩大总需求的同时着力作好供给侧的改革。举个例子：钢铁行业的确有去产能的必要，重庆市政府也在这方面提出了具体的指标，但是另外一方面，低端的钢材的确产能过剩，但是在高端的方面又需要大量的进口。有一项研究表明，“一带一路”未来要建设26000公里的铁路，在铁路建设上每1亿元人民币的投资会产生3300吨钢材的需要，而沿线国家绝大部分在钢材方面都是净进口国，对钢材就有很大的需要，我觉得这个需求就很值得研究。

中国民生银行研究院院长黄剑辉：重庆的发展应该有“三个坚持”

在中央“十三五”规划的总体目标内，重庆应坚持创新发展、坚持城乡统筹发展、坚持绿色发展。重庆作为中国的四个直辖市之一，应该把目光瞄准伦敦、纽约这样的世界一流的城市，看清差距、找准对策。中国的发展一直是“一弓两箭”格局，重庆、成都所在的成渝经济圈在里面处于特别重要的地位，所以在这样的情况下怎样积极地参与推动长江经济带的建设，发挥对西南和中西部内陆地区的辐射作用是重庆的历史使命，也是发展机遇。同时还需要引导民营企业加快推动国际化，也是非常重要的一个方面。国家的未来值得期待，重庆的美好前景更加值得期待。

中国人民大学重阳金融研究院学术合作部副主任崔悦：

重庆的供给侧结构性改革的示范意义很大

最基础的经济学理论告诉我们，市场的供给和需求主要是通过价格来调节的，最终达到市场出清的最佳平衡状态，然而在现实生活里，价格是被种种因素所扭曲的，商品价格、利率（也就是资本价格）无法真正地作为指导商品生产供给的清晰指标时，就需要政府与市场同时进行资源配置的调控，这也就是我理解的供给侧结构性改革被创造的初衷。当市场的资源配置无法自身优化时，就需要政府通过有形之手重新引导资源配置，以期达到供需平衡的理想状态。重庆作为我国内陆对外开放的前沿高地，一直因为政府调控与市场调控有机结合被外界津津乐道，因此重庆的供给侧结构性改革的示范意义也很重大。

On November 19, 2016, symposium on Supply-side Structural Reform and “One Belt and One Road” Construction: Chongqing Perspective, sponsored by Sichuan International Studies University (SISU) , Chongyang Institute for Financial Studies, Renmin University of China (RDCY) , was held by Chongqing Institute for International Strategies (CIIS). Li Keyong, President of SISU, Wang Wen, the executive dean of RDCY, Zhao Weiliang, Secretary of Chongqing Municipal Education Committee, deputy chief of Chongqing municipal commission of education, He Qing, a standing member of district committee of Shapingba district , deputy district chief had delivered speeches at the opening ceremony.

During the opening ceremony, Wang Wen, the executive dean of RDCY, said that the symposium is a beneficial attempt to carry out in-depth cooperation between RDCY, a regional think tank. Li Keyong, the president of SISU, expressed a desire to enhance cooperation with RDCY, which will make SISU more contributive in the construction of the Inland Opening-up Heights in Chongqing .

During the public speaking after the opening ceremony, guest speakers gave speeches on the themes of “One Belt and One Road Initiative and the Future of Chongqing ” and “ The Structural Reform of Supply-side and the Development of Chongqing ”, including He Yafei, former Deputy Minister of Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Wei Benhua, former Deputy Director of the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Zhang Yanling, Executive Director of China Chamber of International Commerce and former vice President of Bank of China, Dong Ximiao, Executive President of Hengfeng Bank Institute, Huang Jianhui, President of China Minsheng Bank, Cui Yue, deputy director of the Academic Cooperation Department of RDCY. In the afternoon, experts have conducted in-depth discussions on construction of the Inland Opening-up Heights in Chongqing and Chongqing free trade area with experts and scholars of Chongqing and the responsible persons of relevant departments and agencies.

Founded on January 19, 2013, RDCY was one of the major projects with the total worth of 200 million Yuan, donated by Mr.Qiu Guogen, President of Shanghai Chongyang Investment Management Limited Company and alumnus of Renmin University of China . As a think tank of new type with Chinese characteristics, RDCY focuses on the fi nancial market analysis, academic research, social concerns, consultation services for the government and public service. RDCY hires 96 former politicians, bankers, scholars from more than 10 countries as senior researchers and carries out substantive cooperation with think tanks of more than 30 countries. At present, the RDCY is recognized as the common lead think tank of G20 think tank Summit (T20) by the authorities, the Secretariat of Green Finance Specialized Committee of China Finance Society, Executive Director of China Think Tank Cooperation Alliance of Belt and Road , as well as the leader of One Belt and One Road think tanks of China in China-Iran Government-University cooperation . Since 2014, RDCY for two consecutive years was selected as "the world's top think tank top 150" in Global Think-tank Report, launched by the University of Pennsylvania, which is internationally recognized as the highest degree and only seven Chinese think tanks are in the list.

Founded on December 18, 2014, CIIS, approved by Chongqing Municipal government, is an independent research consultancy jointly established by the original Chongqing Foreign Trade and Economic Committee and SISU. CIIS mainly engages in the research of key issues and policies including the industrial distribution in Chongqing , regional and international economic cooperation against the background of One Belt and One Road Initiative. With the idea of "Embracing the International Perspective, Offering Consultation Services ", CIIS adheres to the philosophy of " Under the guidance of the government, Realizing resources integration and platform construction with SISU as the mainstay.”

He Yafei, Former Deputy Minister of the Ministry of Foreign Aff airs

Chongqing will Play a Leading Role in “One Belt and One Road” Initiative

I think our work priorities are on three aspects. First, the connectivity of infrastructure. Chongqing will be positioned as a city for enhancing trade, investment and logistics in the countries along One Belt and One Road (OBOR) . Second, more contributions in manufacturing industry, service industry and engineering procurement construction (EPC). Third, the advantages of overseas Chinese. We should never neglect the power of over 60 million overseas Chinese when we implement OBOR Initiative, especially those patriotic young talents who have a good command of languages, know diff erent cultures and international rules. In general, I think Chongqing can play a leading role in OBOR Initiative. We should study our advantages, make good use of our country's policies and plan our future development.

Zhang Yanling , Executive Director of China Chamber of International Commerce and Former Vice President of Bank of China

Chongqing will Become a Data Information Center of“One Belt and One Road”

Chongqing can play a unique role in analyzing big OBOR data and promote a benign development of OBOR initiative. On the one hand, we can make a statistical analysis of the information related to the logistics centers in Chongqing and use the big data of logistics to propose macro opinions. On the other hand, we can also analyze the statistic information of crossborder logistics and entrepot trade which developed rapidly in Chongqing in recent years. Chongqing can use the advantage of regional center and become the data information center, which can provide basic data and research report for OBOR initiative and off er advices for the development of China and OBOR strategy.

Dong Ximiao , Executive President of Hengfeng Bank Institute

Three Suggestions on Financial Reform in Chongqing Firstly, we should build a better development environment in order to constructing multi-level capital market. Secondly, we should develop a local economy with leading financial characteristics. The good foundation and potential of consumer fi nance in Chongqing will bring more opportunities and support to small and medium enterprises as well as consumers. Third, we should strengthen local government’s role in financial supervision. With the development of new finance, local governments are becoming more and more important. How to make a good top-level design and exert positive infl uence of local governments on finance is becoming a vital part in China's financial reform. Chongqing may offer many useful references in this part.

Wei Benhua, Former Deputy Director of State Administration of Foreign Exchange

Supply-side Reform both in Short Term as well as in Mediumand-long Term

As for the supply-side reform problem, we should not only consider in short term, but also middle-and-long term. The market will play a decisive role in allocating resources, but the government should also play its role in it. Therefore, the government should strike a balance in policy-making. In the process of expanding demand moderately, the government should also reform the supply-side. For example, a reduction of excess capacity in steel industry is necessary. Chongqing municipal government did propose the detailed requirements on it. However, the low-end steel is oversupplying at home while the supply of high-endsteel falls short , which needs a great deal of import. Research shows that 26,000 kilometers of railway is to be built along OBOR, and there is a demand of 3,300 tons of steel when investing per hundred million Yuan into the railway construction. A large part of the countries along OBOR are net importers in steel, which makes a large demand of steel. I think it is a phenomenon which is worthy of studying.

Huang Jianhui, President of China Minsheng Bank

“Three Insistences” in the Development of Chongqing

Chongqing should insist on innovative development, urban and rural coordinated development and green development according to the overall objectives of China’s 13th Five-Year Plan. Chongqing, as one of the four municipalities directly under the Central Government, should keep an eye on the top cities like New York and London. As for the reform of stateowned enterprises. China’s development has always been in “a bow and two arrows” pattern, and Chengdu-Chongqing Economic Circle plays a critical role in it. So in this case, how to actively participate in promoting the construction of the Yangtze River Economic Belt and perform the radiating role in the southwest, Mid-west regions will be a historical mission and opportunity for development. In the meantime, promoting the internationalization of privacy enterprises is another important issue. China and Chongqing will embrace a promising future.

Cui Yue, Deputy Director of the Academic Cooperation Department of RDCY

The Structural Reform of Supply-side in Chongqing plays a signifi cant role of demonstration

According to the most basic economic theory, the supply and demand of the market are mainly regulated by the price, and fi nally reach the optimal balance of market clearing. But in reality prices are distorted by various factors. When the price of commodity and the interest rate (known as capital price) can’t really be used as a clear indicator of the supply of goods, we need both the government and the market to control the allocation of resources at the same time. That’s reason why the concept of structural reform of supply-side was created. If the market resource allocation can’t be optimized by itself, we need the visible hand of the government to determine the allocation of resources and finally lead to the ideal state of balance between supply and demand. Chongqing, as an Opening-up Highland in Inland China, is known for its combination of the government control and market regulation, and the structural reform of supply-side in Chongqing will also play a signifi cant role of demonstration.

Chongqing, Leading in “One Belt and One Road” Initiative, Enjoys a Promising Future
Symposium on Supply-side Structural Reform and One Belt and One Road Initiative Construction: Chongqing Perspective was held in Chongqingg

□ J ournalist / Zeng Rui